We have developed a new metric to rank a team’s performance over the course of the season. It’s a first draft model that will likely need some tweaking, but as of now it features a collection of record, winning percentage, strength of schedule, sets differential, point differential, hitting percentage and opponent hitting percentage – all with different modifiers.
We plugged in the teams who made the Sweet 16 into the metric to take a look at their rating to this point in the year. Before we reveal those numbers, out of comparison here are the numbers that the past five National Champions:
1 | 2013 Penn State | 150.34 |
2 | 2014 Penn State | 147.31 |
3 | 2017 Nebraska | 140.78 |
4 | 2015 Nebraska | 139.9 |
5 | 2016 Stanford | 130.7 |
As you can see, the most dominant teams score around 150. A surprise Stanford National Championship team in 2016 was just above 130. Here’s the results to this point this season; keep in mind that with more matches to go teams can still add to their numbers even more.
Total: | ||
1 | Stanford | 144.14 |
2 | Illinois | 138.91 |
3 | BYU | 136.16 |
4 | Kentucky | 133.52 |
5 | Minnesota | 132.83 |
6 | Nebraska | 131.54 |
7 | Texas | 130.1 |
8 | Wisconsin | 129.82 |
9 | Penn State | 126.07 |
10 | Marquette | 125.81 |
11 | Michigan | 120.62 |
12 | Florida | 120.25 |
13 | Washington State | 120.04 |
14 | Oregon | 117.14 |
15 | Washington | 113.13 |
16 | San Diego | 103.26 |
The formula of how the totals are put together is a sum of the following:
- (Wins – Losses) x 0.5
- (Win %) x 10
- (335 – SOS#) x 0.3
- (Sets Won – Sets Lost) x 0.1
- (Points Won – Points Lost) x 0.01
- (Hitting % – Opponent Hitting %) x 50
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