Final 2017 Women’s NCAA VB Tournament Invite & Seeding Projections

  0 Jared Anderson | November 26th, 2017 | ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, College - Women's Indoor, Conference USA, Division I Mid-Major, Missouri Valley Conference, Mountain West, News, Pac 12, SEC, WCC

We first projected the 64 teams to make the NCAA Tournament back on Nov 6, and updated our last in, first out teams every week. (Nov 14 update here, Nov 20 update here). Now it’s time to make our final projections in advance of tonight’s NCAA Selection Show.

Automatic Bids

The winners of each of the NCAA’s 32 conferences earn automatic bids. 2017 was a season chock full with big conference ties, and each conference has its own rules for breaking ties. That said, every co-conference champ should make the tournament, given the ties mostly came in major conferences that will qualify multiple teams into the NCAA’s 32 other at-large bids.

Here are the teams automatically selected for the tournament:

Conference Auto Bid
ACC Louisville
America East Stony Brook
American Wichita State
Atlantic 10 VCU
Atlantic Sun Kennesaw State
Big 12 Texas
Big East Creighton
Big Sky North Dakota
Big South Radford
Big Ten Nebraska
Big West Cal Poly
C-USA Western Kentucky
CAA James Madison
Horizon Cleveland State
Ivy League Princeton
MAAC Fairfield
MAC Miami (OH)
MEAC Howard
Missouri Valley Missouri State
Mountain West Colorado State
NEC LIU Brooklyn
Ohio Valley Austin Peay
Pac-12 Stanford
Patriot American
SEC Florida
Southland Central Arkansas
Summit League Denver
Sun Belt Coastal Carolina
SWAC Alabama State
West Coast San Diego

At-Large Bids

For at-large bids, we’ve got the Big Ten and Pac-12 leading with 8 projected bids each in addition to their automatic entrant. It is worth pointing out, though, that there is one Big Ten team and one Pac-12 team in our “last 8 in,” plus one Big Ten team and one Pac-12 team in our “first 8 out.”

At-Large Conference
Illinois Big Ten
Iowa Big Ten
Michigan Big Ten
Michigan State Big Ten
Minnesota Big Ten
Penn State Big Ten
Purdue Big Ten
Wisconsin Big Ten
Colorado Pac-12
Oregon Pac-12
Oregon State Pac-12
UCLA Pac-12
USC Pac-12
Utah Pac-12
Washington Pac-12
Washington State Pac-12
Florida State ACC
Miami (FL) ACC
NC State ACC
Notre Dame ACC
Pittsburgh ACC
Baylor Big 12
Iowa State Big 12
Kansas Big 12
Kentucky SEC
Missouri SEC
Marquette Big East
Hawaii Big West
North Texas C-USA

Last 8 In, First 8 Out

Florida State
Washington State
North Texas
===CUT LINE===
  • Florida State is 6-0 in the three weeks since we had them in our original last 8 in. No wins over tourney teams, but no reason to bump the team out, either.
  • Washington State had a big win on the road against Oregon last week, and went 1-1 this week with a forgiveable road loss to Washington.
  • Missouri’s only two losses in the last two weeks are to conference champ Florida.
  • Ohio State could be in the mix, but dropped 4 of their last 5 to sink below .500. That puts them officially out of the running for tournament contention. Iowa grabs that spot late, having beaten Ohio State twice in the past three weeks, though they lost to everyone else (Marlyand, Illinois, Nebraska).
  • UNC has lost four straight, including a road match to tourney hopeful Duke. The Blue Devils finished this last week strong, blitzing past UNC and NC State at home – but is it too little, too late? Duke isn’t very well-regarded by the RPI (#92 as of last week).


Projected Seed Projected Team
1 Penn State
2 Nebraska
3 Kentucky
4 Florida
5 Stanford
6 Texas
7 Minnesota
9 Washington
10 Wisconsin
11 Michigan State
12 USC
13 San Diego
14 Kansas
15 Utah
16 Creighton

Penn State seems a knockout for the #1 seed. Beyond that, we’ve got a total of 5 Big Ten teams and 4 Pac-12 teams in our top 16 seeds.

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